Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Names for the two Hobbit films released


I am a huge fan of "The Lord of the Rings". I am a huge fan of "Lord of the Rings" to such a degree where it isn't even funny anymore. I've seen all the extended cuts, the special features, and commentaries. It's become so bad that my friends won't even play The Lord of the Rings Trivial Pursuit with me because it "isn't fun anymore". I've become that guy who owns a certain video game and kicks everyone's asses at it. I'm sorry, I just really love "The Lord of the Rings".

Despite my love for Tolkien and Jackson's amazing trilogy, I was never really a fan of Tolkien's earliest Middle-Earth release, "The Hobbit". I don't know what it is, but after ten years of Tolkein fanboy-ism, I still haven't gotten around to reading it. I have tried a couple times, or perhaps more than a couple times to read that darn book, but just can't urge myself to read any more. There's a Hobbit and a wizard and thirteen dwarves. . .and. . .whatever.

Although I don't neccesarily like "The Hobbit" book, I am very stoked for the film and am excited it is finally being produced after years of Hollywood squablings. If you don't know this already, the approximately 310 page book is getting the two-movie treatment, which is curious, considering that each LOTR book got one movie, even though they are about the same length, if not longer. The justification for this is becau$e there'$ apparently a lot more $tory in the background of the book. Just because a story has subplots, however, does not mean you should actually show them and flesh them out, but this is a discussion for another time.

The names of the two parts have been released today. The first part, which is to come out December 14, 2012, is called "The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey". The second film is to be called "The Hobbit: There and Back Again." While these names are Tolkien-esque and nice, I would just prefer it if they would go by their real names: Part one could be "The Hobbit" and part two could be "The Hobbit: You're paying us another ten dollars."

All cynicism aside, I'm excited to see what Jackson does with his new Middle-Earth tales. Hopefully he doesn't pull a Lucas.

Monday, May 30, 2011

Box Office Analysis: May 26-30

Well this is certainly one for the record books. After a very poor first few months of 2011, the domestic and global box office has suddenly caught fire! It began several weeks ago with the smash hit that is Fast Five and kept going with the Thunder God himself, Thor. Since then we have also had Bridesmaids, which will go down as one of the unexpected winners of 2011. But it's Memorial day weekend when things went from recovery to HUGE -- and you can thank a certain Wolf Pack, a Kung Fu Fighting Panda and the campest pirate of them all. For this weekend has set a record for the biggest Memorial Weekend box office ever at $275M overall for the 4-day holiday. That easily beats 2007 as the highest grossing (when Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End, and Shrek The Third, and Spider-Man 3 ran 1-2-3 for $254M). And 2011 beats 2010's overall total by almost +50%.

The Hangover Part II breaks down like this, Thursday $31.6M, Friday $29.8M, Saturday $30M, Sunday $26M, Three-day Weekend $85M Four-day Memorial Holiday $103, Five-Day Cume $135M, International Cume $59M, Global Cume $194M. Pretty impressive eh! In fact Thursday's $31.6M beat the total opening weekend of the first one several years ago. WOW! This sequel is the biggest 3-day weekend comedy debut ever, beating The Simpsons Movie's $74M. And Hangover II shattering all R-rated comedy records. The previous largest first weekend for an R-rated comedy was Sex And The City. Internationally, Hangover 2 opened in 40 countries to the sum of a not that great $59m. The UK debuted to a massive £10.2m (US $16.4M), making this the all-time biggest opening weekend for a U.S. comedy (all ratings) and the biggest opening weekend to date in 2011 (ahead of Pirates 4). All in all expect the official Hangover III greenlight to come sooner, rather than later.

Despite facing massive competition from the rat pack, Kung Fu Panda 2 had a very solid weekend, probably as good as most industry insiders were predicting. Panda's weekend went as follows: Thursday $5.8M, Friday $13.1M, Saturday $18.6M, Sunday $16.3M, Three-Day Weekend $48M Four-Day Memorial Holiday $60M, Five-Day Cume $66M, International Cume $57M, Global Cume $123M Internationally, Kung Fu Panda 2 opened in 11 international locations this weekend to a massive $57M (only 2M lower than The Hangover's international cume, and Panda had a hell of a lot less screens). Consider this a very successful opening for the animated sequel - I am also predicting a solid second weekend.

In third place at the US domestic box office was Pirates Of The Caribbean: On Stranger Tides. Captain Jack had a better than expected international launch last weekend but a under performing one at the US box office. This is how Pirates 4 fared this weekend: Friday $10.8M, Saturday $15.1M, Sunday $13.3M, Three-Day Weekend $40M (-45%) Four-Day Memorial Holiday $51M, Cume $164.6M, International Cume $483M, Global Cume $647M. This weekend Pirates Of The Caribbean 4 crossed the $645M global threshhold in only 12 days after releasing into 100% of its international markets, which the studio says matched the industry speed record set by Pirates Of The Caribbean 3 back in 2007. It's the #1 release of 2011 globally and now stands as the 6th biggest overseas release ever for Disney. Its international tally is now $483M and global cume $647M as of through Monday. Expect this to be the highest grossing Pirates movie to date, and similar to the Hangover, expect Pirates 5 to be greenlit sooner rather than later. And a 45% drop week to week is very respectable, given Hangover and Panda are all competing for the same audience. Pirates will take a bigger fall next weekend when X-Men: First Class is unleashed.


In fourth place domestically is the sleeper hit, Bridesmaids. Now in its third week, the female fronted comedy has saw great week to week holds and is expected to crash through the $100M barrier next weekend. Take a look at this weekends results: Friday $4.6M, Saturday $6M, Sunday $6.4M, Three-Day Weekend $17M Four-Day Memorial Holiday $21.4M, Cume $90M. Note though that Bridesmaids has yet to open in several major markets (the UK being the biggest it has yet to open in). I predict a final worldwide cume of close to $150M. Fifth place went to Thor and co. The Thunder God has proved popular with critics and audiences alike and has done solid to good business at the domestic and global box office: Friday $2.4M, Saturday $3.5M, Sunday $3.6M, Three-Day Weekend $9.5M Four-Day Memorial Holiday $12M, Cume $162.3M - add in the international cume and Thor is estimated to be close to the $480M mark. Which represents a higher gross than Iron Man and The Incredible Hulk.

The rest of the North American Box Office looks like this:

6. Fast Five, Friday $1.8M, Saturday $2.4M, Sunday $2.3M, Three-Day Weekend $6.5M Four-Day Memorial Holiday $8.2M, Cume $197.6M Overseas, Fast Five grossed an estimated $13.3M and raised its international total to $346M this weekend. Combined with the domestic estimate, the worldwide cume will reach nearly $545M on Monday - time for my second WOW!

7. Midnight In Paris, Friday $474K, Saturday $775K, Sunday $472K, Three-Day Weekend $2M Four-Day Memorial Holiday $2.6M, Cume $3.5M

8. Something Borrowed, Friday $550K, Saturday $700K, Sunday $750K, Three-Day Weekend $2M Four-Day Memorial Holiday $2.4M, Cume $35.3M

9. Jumping The Broom, Friday $475K, Saturday $800K, Sunday $680K, Three-Day Weekend $1.8M Four-Day Memorial Holiday $2.2M, Cume $35.1M

10. Rio, Friday $420K, Saturday $720K, Sunday $640K, Three-Day Weekend $1.7M Four-Day Memorial Holiday $2.2M, Cume $135.1M, International Cume $321.9M

Sunday, May 29, 2011

The Battle of Friday Night; What Will You Watch?

With Friday nights starting in September looking like the coolest night on TV, the big question is -- can all these shows survive on the same night? Between the five broadcast networks (CBS, NBC, ABC, FOX, CW) we have: Supernatural, Nikita, Fringe, Grimm, Chuck and A Gifted Man. For those who dont know, Grimm is set in the modern day with an investigator on the hunt for Supernatural happenings that  involve the Grimm fairytales. A Gifted Man is also set in the modern day where a brilliant surgeon is in constant contact with the ghost of his dead wife.

The way the schedule is set out, at 8pm we have Chuck, Nikita and A Gifted Man, while an hour later, Fringe, Grimm and Supernatural are being shown. There is reason to believe each show will succeed and fail in equal measure. Supernatural, which many believed would end at the conclusion of its fifth season with the exit of their show runner Eric Kripke, came back stronger than ever in their Friday slot with a new show runner in place. The sixth season held up well, making it one of the most watched shows on the CW, and proved to be a perfect partner with Smallville. With the show averaging 2.2 million viewers for its sixth season, and that was with Fringe in the same timeslot, I believe the Winchester-brothers audience will stay as solid as it has been. However, saying all that, an eighth season is very doubtful given the wishes of its primary actors to move on to bigger but not necessarily better things.

Nikita on the other hand I am not too sure about. Being shipped off to Fridays at 8 in its second year does not indicate the CW has that much confidence in the Maggie Q action series. After a positive start leading out of the Vampire Diaries on Thursdays, the show took a tumble and averaged a little under 2 million viewers for its last 8 episodes. A worrying trend indeed. And now Nikita is being asked to anchor the night for the CW on Fridays! And going against Chuck in particular, which is fighting for the same audience may prove too much for Nikita. For me the shows only chance is that people were put off the show due to its Thursday time slot which is very competitive. Having it on a quieter night might actually do some good. All in all though I predict Nikita will lose a chunk of the Smallville audience numbers for that slot and will average about 1.8 million viewers. That could still be enough for an eventual third season though, all depending on the overall health of the CW schedule next May.

Fringe, which is keeping its 9pm slot is living on borrowed time! Considering Fox canned their five bubble shows (Human Target, Lie To Me, Chicago Code, Traffic Lights, Breaking In) which were all delivering more viewers than Fringe, suggest the season 4 renewal was more of a kind gesture to the fans than a smart business decision. The one thing Fringe has going for it, is that it has gave Fox a boost in their target demographics on Fridays. That alone though will not be enough to grant it a fifth season. The show began its Friday night life earlier this year with 4.5 million viewers but quickly fell to around the 3 and a half. And given the fact Fringe is still going up against Supernatural and now Grimm in the mix, I'm predicting that the show will only do an average of 3.3 million viewers, and will conclude for good after its fourth season. Luckily for Fringe fans, the Josh Jackson led show was granted 22 episodes, which I firmly believe the network will honor. Look for Fringe to air its series finale next May. Consider Fringe lucky, I'm sure everyone remembers the way Fox canned Firefly after only 13 episodes and that was doing better than Fringe on Friday nights.


Chuck is leaving its Monday home, which it has had for the past four years, for the charming Friday night slot of 8pm. Everyone is under the impression that Chucks fifth season will be its final one. It has only been granted a 13 episode order and no one expects NBC to cave in this time to fan pressure and extend the order past 13, which it has done in previous years. For its fourth season, the Zachary Levi led spy dramedy averaged 5.3 million viewers. It has lost viewers every season the show has been on the air. Not only is Chuck expected to follow that trend again, but expect the show to lose followers due to the timeslot change. I am predicting that for Chuck's fifth and final season, an average audience of 4.5 million viewers is likely.

Following on from Chuck on the peacock network is Grimm. Straight away, one massive plus is that the fairytale drama is being executive produced by David Greenwalt, who worked on Buffy and Angel. This seems right up his street, in the realm of fantasy and the supernatural. This is going to be quite an episodic show, a detective/investigator solving crimes that involve the Grimm fairytales. Now this I am interested in. From the early trailers, its looks good, dark, gothic in tone and has a nice style to it. NBC chiefs also said at the upfronts recently that they really liked this show and hope it does well - me too. However, the Friday 9pm slot already features Fringe and Supernatural - and all three will be competing for the same audience. And leading out of Chuck, which wont exactly have a huge audience to pass on, my fear is Grimm may be an early casualty. One thing that could be in its favor though is DVR (digital video recorder) numbers. Friday night shows are among the most DVR'd and networks are looking at those figures more and more closely. If Grimm can average a solid 6 million viewers on the night and does good DVR numbers, then we could be seeing -- hopefully, alot of the Grimm fairytales brought to life for several seasons to come....... don't hold your breath though.

A Gifted Man is being broadcast by CBS, Friday at 8pm and stars Julie Benz and Patrick Wilson. The eye network has had mild success in the 8pm hour with supernatural-type shows, Ghost Whisperer and Medium being the obvious ones. And A Gifted Man seems to fit that mold too. These CBS shows normally go after an older audience than the others mentioned above, so competition for the Chuck and Nikita audience wont be that cut throat. However, seeing that CBS have cancelled 4 shows (Ghost Whisperer, Medium, Chaos and The Defenders) in this 8pm slot in less than two years, certainly puts a hell if alot of pressure on this Patrick Wilson led show. Early buzz and footage have brought positive feedback from critics and test audiences alike. CBS will be hoping for a 9 million viewer plus average. My prediction is that wont quite happen. I'm expecting the ghostly drama to bring in 8 million viewers (not including DVR numbers). All in all, Friday nights are going to get alot more attention than ever before.

There will be alot of competition for the 18-35 year old audience and DVR useage will be working overtime. I am looking forward to seeing those first night numbers in September. There will be winners and losers and no doubt not everyone will be happy. But the real question here is -- what will YOU be watching?

Tuesday, May 24, 2011

Love & Other Drugs



Movie: Love & Other Drugs

Year: 2010

Director: Edward Zwick

Cast: Anne Hathaway, Jake Gyllenhaal, Oliver Platt, Hank Azaria, Judy Greer

Love, sex, drugs, and a little bit of Rock & Roll. Not a bad combination when it comes to a movie and this one has it all.

Jamie Randle (Gyllenhaal) is a self-professed slacker and true ladies man. Hailing from a family of overachievers, he’s dropped out of medical school and has bounced from job to job, until he lands a high-energy, super competitive position as a salesman with pharmaceutical giant, Pfizer. Using his witty charm, he meets Maggie Murdock (Anne Hathaway) a young artist struggling with a cruel and debilitating disease, Parkinson’s, but determined not to let it rule her world. What begins as no strings attached sex, soon blossoms into a relationship both are reluctant to start.

This movie was a pleasant surprise. I love Anne Hathaway, but this was far from her role as Mia Thermopolis in the Princess Diaries. You won’t see the good girl, refined to become a princess, but a good girl evolved into a woman who is truly aware of her sexuality. I was impressed with the movie, not because of the saucy sex scenes between Hathaway and Gyllenhaal, but because of the ability of the writers to bring awareness of a disease many still have no clue about without standing atop a soap box and being overly preachy.

Hathaway’s portrayal of Maggie, a young woman coming to grips with how her life will be and then having someone enter her world and show her there is another way to live is inspiring. You’ll see Gyllenhaal’s character, Jamie, evolve from a self-obsessed player into a one woman man with a purpose and determination to put someone else’s needs above his own. Love & Other Drugs is a love story that pushes the limits and makes you wonder just how much you would be willing to sacrifice for the person you love.

Sunday, May 22, 2011

Weekend Box Office Analysis: May 20-22

So no surprises here! Pirates Of The Caribbean: On Stranger Tides roared to the top of the U.S. domestic Box Office bringing in $90M this weekend. Considering this was the only new wide release, competition was slim. Heading into this weekend Disney and most industry writers had forecast a $100M plus opening. And given the lack of competition and the higher 3D ticket prices, this really should have met those expectations and opened higher than Pirates 3. But what happened didn't go according to plan. "On Stranger Tides" opened with only $35M Friday and $32M on Saturday from 4,155 theaters most of those being in IMAX. While this is easily the biggest opening of the year, Disney will no doubt be asking questions as to why Pirates 4 never cracked the $100M mark.

Nevertheless there was still reason to celebrate for other reasons because the action pic made it up overseas where sequels still rule and 3D is still king. It finished the weekend with the #1 biggest 5-day international opening with $256.3M (beating Harry Potter 6's $236M) and the #4 biggest global opening of all time with $346.4M (behind Harry Potter 6, Spidey 3, and Pirates 3). Early reports are suggesting that 3D take-up was under expectations which gives the impression the 3D bubble is close to bursting already. And as a comparison, Pirates 3 managed $114M in 2007 for the first 3 days of the Memorial long weekend. Pirates 4 cost in the neighborhood of $250 million to make and another $170M to market worldwide. But a derivative and lackluster promotional campaign didn't help. However, CinemaScore was a B, indicating moviegoers liked the movie, but didnt love it. But with a $350M plus total already in the bag, Disney are confident that this one will overtake the total for Pirates 3. Who knows, but given the tough road ahead, my guess would be not.

In second place this weekend is week two of Universal's female-heavy comedy Bridesmaids. After a better than expected first week which really did shock the industry, would the movie simply crash and burn in week two? The answer was a resounding No! Dropping only 20%, the R rated comedy is expected to bring in $21M for the weekend and an overall total of $59.5M altogether, which is twice as much as the studio was expecting. And with many international locations still to open in, this could turn into the suprise hit of 2011, similar to the way The Hangover went a few years back.

In third place was the diposed God of Thunder, Thor. Dropping from first to third, the Marvel actioneer dropped a good 55% bringing in roughly $15.4M for the weekend, and is now just under the $150M mark domestically, but is close to the $400M mark at the worldwide box office. Questions still remain though if Thor can muscle past the $200M mark domestically. Universal's Fast Five moved down to fourth, now in its fourth week of release, the Furious sequel is expected to do $10.6M this weekend, bringing its North American box office total to $186M, on course to break down the $200M barrier and should pass the half a billion dollar mark by Monday worldwide - a huge achievement.

The rest of the top 10 look like this:

5. Rio 3D Weekend $4.6M, Cume $131.6M
6. Priest 3D Weekend $4.6M (-69%), Cume $23.7M
7. Jumping The Broom Weekend $3.7M, Cume $31.3M
8. Something Borrowed Weekend $3.4M, Cume $31.4M
9. Water For Elephants Weekend $2.1M, Cume $52.4M
10. Madea's Big Happy Family Weekend $1, Cume $51.7M.

So as a final thought. A few things to take from this: 3D does not equel massive earnings. Pirates 3 was only in 2D and that brought in about $25M more than Pirates 4. This is an issue the studios should be looking at. Also the worldwide box office is now starting to become just as important as the US domestic box office. No longer can a film be classed as a success or failure based on U.S. opening weekends alone. Pirates 4 opening higher worldwide is a prime example. Look for the international box office to feature heavily for the rest of this blockbuster season.

Music Review: So Beautiful or So What, Legend Paul Simon Dazzles Audience in Nashville Show

As long as I can remember, I’ve wanted to go to one of those old-fashioned tent revivals like you see in the movies. The ones where people crowd in on a hot summer night, under glowing lights, where everyone is scream-singing, sweating and fainting, having the devil driven out, and the spirit channeled in. When I recently saw my favorite artist, Paul Simon, perform at the Ryman Auditorium in Nashville, Tennessee I think I was as close to that fictional old-fashioned revival as I’m ever going to get. From a melodic, winding build-up to the electrifying, three-encore finish, Simon and company, promoting new album So Beautiful or So What, gave an incredible performance, proving an aged rockstar is a rockstar nonetheless.

My journey began several hours before the concert when I left my central Indiana home and made the trip south to tourist nightmare, Nashville. I’d never been to the Ryman before, but had been told ahead of time that the acoustics were excellent, it would be one of many observations of excellence I would make through out the night. Having bought the tickets months prior; which weren’t cheep, upon entering the theater, it was clear that the early purchase and expense were necessary. The theater is small, surprisingly small. It was more like a high school auditorium, a tiny arc with a balcony, and from my seat, I could see nearly every other one in the place. It only took moments to be lead to the seats, which were so close, that had I reached to my right, I could have been leaning on the stage.

Shortly thereafter, I started scanning my ticket, wondering if there was going to be some obnoxious opening act, and how late from the start time the show would actually begin. I looked over the crowd, there were people of all ages present, from teens to senior citizens, and many of them were snacking on hotdogs and drinking out of glass beer bottles, something I can’t help but notice as odd after some of the experiences in pure chaos dubbed ‘concerts’ I’ve been to in my life.

The unusual setting took some getting used to, I was surprised to find the seating was actually pew-style benches. I’m not what you would call “a people person”, and I’m really not for having my personal space invaded, but I decided to suck-it-up, and not let anyone else distract me from the show, regardless of how close they were to my person. Which is why I should mention, I am a particularly vicious concertgoer, I don’t let anything interrupt my musical experience. I elbow, step on toes, and dance with abandonment, blocking the view of anyone behind me. Unfortunately though, there was almost no room for my regular antics. As seems to be the norm at Simon’s concerts, the crowd tends to stay seated through out the show—which is like murder to me. Luckily, I’m a professional car dancer, so I managed to polish my bench seat by bouncing around in it, and drumming along on my now bruised legs, through the majority of the show.

Just as I was getting used to the close quarters, the lights dimmed, and right on time, Paul and his band took the stage. After an enthusiastic welcome from the crowd, the show got off to a mellow, thought-provoking start, with “Crazy Love Vol II”, and “Slip Slidin’ Away”, I wondered if this was going to be the tone of the evening, a very intimate gathering, perhaps catering to an older crowd. Which, turned out to be the exact opposite of how the show proceeded. The subtle start seemed to be a clever way to test the crowd, to see if we were paying attention, before busting out the fan-favorites and hits of his illustrious career.

The energy started to build with a cover of Jimmy Cliff’s “Vietnam”, and from then on, each song was reflective of a different location, culture, or type of music, making for an around-the-world-in-80-days-in-a-matter-of-hours, event. As the excitement rose with “That Was Your Mother”, “Rewrite”, “Diamonds on The Soles of Her Shoes”, and “Gumboots”, so did the vigor of the audience. It was like the entire place had taken on a surreal, hypnotic, feeling, vibrating with the combined display of musical genius, and thrilled fans. As the show went on, it appeared that most of the fervent audience members had begun to have unique spiritual experiences, and midway through, I had my own spiritual confrontation.

Typical of Simon’s live performances, the arrangements of the songs, and lead-ins are different than what you would hear on the records, which makes for an interesting, textural live experience. After a distracting lead in, the first few notes of “The Obvious Child” kicked off, and the crowd surged with excitement, while I, stunned, didn’t even realize at first it was happening. As far as I knew, this was not a song that got much live play, and as it is my all-time, number one favorite song, it didn’t occur to me that it would actually be part of the setlist! Nevertheless, I found myself in a surreal moment of sitting stage-side, watching my favorite song be preformed by the man who created it, and drumming the best drum solo in the world on my legs as it was happening in real life.

I was still reeling for next couple of songs, but by the time “Gone At Last” came up, a lesser-known, rock-gospel piece, the entire tone shifted again, and everyone was finally on their feet, driving the devil out, and pulling the spirit in. From the subdued start to this, the first encore, the crowd had been whipped up into a frenzy, everyone in sight dancing, singing, reaching their hands up in the air, and clapping along, moved by the experience. It was something that I’ve never seen before, but hope to again.

The performance was visually impressive as well, the array of instruments both on and off stage, ranged from unique worldly pieces, to an extensive and varied collection of guitars. Band members would frequently change instruments, sometimes during a song, or even play two at once. All of this coupled with a near-constant stream of stage hands running on and off, providing the band with even more guitars, was all almost Vaudevillian, an incredible weaving of skill and craftsmanship.

After almost two and a half hours, and two encores, the evening turned sentimental, with a stirring rendition of “The Sounds of Silence”, then “Here Comes The Sun”, with Paul’s sage reminder to think of George from time to time. These were mixed with other upbeat hits like “Late in The Evening”, and a version of “Bye, Bye Love” (The Everly Brothers), which brought on a surprise accompaniment by Don Everly. Another guest, Jerry Douglas, joined Simon on stage for a moving performance of “The Boxer”, and by now, everyone seemed contented in the knowledge that they had been privy to something rare and beautiful. A permi-grin as wide as the theater seemed to stretch across everyone’s faces. A young man standing near me, around the age of 19, danced in an isle and enthusiastically sang along with all of the songs, and with the end of “The Boxer”, I saw another man wipe away a tear. I may have reacted similarly, were I not already feeling the effects of total sensory-overload.

For the third and final encore, Simon played “The Boy in The Bubble”, and until proven otherwise, I will maintain that this song was written for me. It seemed the perfect way to close, leaving on a positive, and hopeful note. Overall, the show transcended the label of concert and entered into magical experience territory, and made for a once-in-a-lifetime event. When it was finally over, and dazzled fans made their way to the exits, it was clear that everyone left that night, having got to hear their favorite song.

♥ ♥ ♥